2 Billion Pound Almond Crop Predicted to Grow
Today, the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service issued the first of two California Almond Forecast reports, the Almond Subjective Forecast. According to the report, California’s almond orchards are expected to produce 2.2 billion pounds of nuts this year, which is about 2.8 percent above last year’s 2 billion pound crop.1
This report is based on the opinions of randomly selected almond farmers throughout the state who are asked, by phone survey, to estimate the total pounds of California Almonds that their orchards will produce this year. Those estimates are then combined and extrapolated to arrive at the Almond Subjective Forecast.
The Subjective Forecast provides early estimates of the coming crop after it is set. The Objective Report will be released in July, closer to harvest, and is typically the more accurate of the two, as a more statistically rigorous methodology is used during sampling. The data is based on actual almond counts and measurements taken in orchards throughout the state, starting in May and ending in July.
The 2017 California Almond Objective Report will be released July 6, 2017 at 12:00 p.m. PST. Both reports are conducted by the USDA and funded by Almond Board of California to provide almond farmers, processors and shippers with estimates to help them make business decisions.
 USDA-NASS. 2017 California Almond Subjective Forecast. May 2017.